Next UK Prime Minister Odds
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer? Bookmakers have already opened markets on his potential successor, with early odds pointing to Nigel Farage, Wes Streeting, and Andy Burnham as the main contenders.
When The Next UK General Election Could Happen?
Under current rules, a general election must take place every five years. The current Parliament began on 9 July 2024, meaning the next vote must be held by 15 August 2029.
The prime minister can call an early election by asking the King to dissolve Parliament. Once that happens, a 25-working-day campaign begins before polling day.
If the government loses a vote of confidence, a new election usually follows. However, there is no legal way for the public to demand one directly.
How A UK General Election Decides The Next PM?
The UK is divided into 650 constituencies, each electing one MP under the first-past-the-post system. The leader of the party with the most MPs becomes prime minister, while the runner-up typically leads the opposition.
If no party wins a majority, a hung parliament occurs. In that case, coalition deals or minority governments may follow. Both of which can shift the odds dramatically in political betting markets.
Comparison Of Next Prime Minister Odds
(as of early November 2025)
| Candidate | Paddy Power | Betfred | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 |
| Wes Streeting | 11/2 | 6/1 | 6/1 |
| Andy Burnham | 15/2 | 7/1 | 7/1 |
| Yvette Cooper | 10/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Shabana Mahmood | 10/1 | 12/1 | 9/1 |
| David Lammy | 13/1 | 20/1 | 16/1 |
| Kemi Badenoch | — | 16/1 | 16/1 |
| Angela Rayner | — | 16/1 | 12/1 |
| Lucy Powell | — | 20/1 | 20/1 |
| Robert Jenrick | — | 25/1 | 16/1 |
| Jeremy Corbyn | — | — | 25/1 |
| Boris Johnson | — | — | 25/1 |
Across all major bookmakers, Nigel Farage leads the field. His odds between 10/3 and 7/2 show that bookmakers continue to rate the Reform UK leader as the most likely alternative to Labour dominance if political sentiment shifts in the coming years.
Within Labour, Wes Streeting and Andy Burnham remain the shortest-priced candidates. Both represent the party’s centrist and pragmatic wing and are viewed as credible successors should the leadership ever change.
Yvette Cooper and Shabana Mahmood follow with similar prices, reflecting steady confidence in experienced cabinet figures beyond the immediate frontbench circle. Longer-priced names such as David Lammy, Angela Rayner, and Kemi Badenoch highlight the breadth of political profiles attracting attention from bettors.
What Could Shift The Market?
Political betting odds are volatile. Cabinet reshuffles, local election results, or sudden shifts in polling can quickly change the picture. Even a minor controversy or policy dispute within the Labour leadership could move prices within hours.
For now, these odds are more about potential than prediction. Starmer’s position remains secure, but markets offer a glimpse into how bettors imagine the future of British politics.